ShopTRAINING/saved_predictions/prediction_19549899-43bc-4a16-8a9e-c897d25693fb.json

{"product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "model_type": "xgboost", "predictions": [{"date": "2025-04-05", "predicted_sales": 24.257638931274414}, {"date": "2025-04-06", "predicted_sales": 23.752357482910156}, {"date": "2025-04-07", "predicted_sales": 24.069677352905273}, {"date": "2025-04-08", "predicted_sales": 19.112489700317383}, {"date": "2025-04-09", "predicted_sales": 21.332242965698242}, {"date": "2025-04-10", "predicted_sales": 20.065534591674805}, {"date": "2025-04-11", "predicted_sales": 19.03286361694336}, {"date": "2025-04-12", "predicted_sales": 22.03268814086914}, {"date": "2025-04-13", "predicted_sales": 22.380788803100586}, {"date": "2025-04-14", "predicted_sales": 22.927005767822266}, {"date": "2025-04-15", "predicted_sales": 17.80633544921875}, {"date": "2025-04-16", "predicted_sales": 22.225345611572266}, {"date": "2025-04-17", "predicted_sales": 22.632287979125977}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "predicted_sales": 19.119356155395508}, {"date": "2025-04-19", "predicted_sales": 23.014183044433594}, {"date": "2025-04-20", "predicted_sales": 17.28049087524414}, {"date": "2025-04-21", "predicted_sales": 16.84412384033203}, {"date": "2025-04-22", "predicted_sales": 16.275175094604492}, {"date": "2025-04-23", "predicted_sales": 14.114492416381836}], "prediction_data": [{"date": "2025-04-05", "predicted_sales": 24.257638931274414}, {"date": "2025-04-06", "predicted_sales": 23.752357482910156}, {"date": "2025-04-07", "predicted_sales": 24.069677352905273}, {"date": "2025-04-08", "predicted_sales": 19.112489700317383}, {"date": "2025-04-09", "predicted_sales": 21.332242965698242}, {"date": "2025-04-10", "predicted_sales": 20.065534591674805}, {"date": "2025-04-11", "predicted_sales": 19.03286361694336}, {"date": "2025-04-12", "predicted_sales": 22.03268814086914}, {"date": "2025-04-13", "predicted_sales": 22.380788803100586}, {"date": "2025-04-14", "predicted_sales": 22.927005767822266}, {"date": "2025-04-15", "predicted_sales": 17.80633544921875}, {"date": "2025-04-16", "predicted_sales": 22.225345611572266}, {"date": "2025-04-17", "predicted_sales": 22.632287979125977}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "predicted_sales": 19.119356155395508}, {"date": "2025-04-19", "predicted_sales": 23.014183044433594}, {"date": "2025-04-20", "predicted_sales": 17.28049087524414}, {"date": "2025-04-21", "predicted_sales": 16.84412384033203}, {"date": "2025-04-22", "predicted_sales": 16.275175094604492}, {"date": "2025-04-23", "predicted_sales": 14.114492416381836}], "history_data": [{"date": "2025-03-06", "sales": 57.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 3, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-07", "sales": 84.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 4, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-08", "sales": 96.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 5, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-09", "sales": 78.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 6, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-10", "sales": 55.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 0, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-11", "sales": 67.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 1, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-12", "sales": 78.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 2, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-13", "sales": 66.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 3, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-14", "sales": 66.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 4, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-15", "sales": 83.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 5, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-16", "sales": 83.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 6, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-17", "sales": 66.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 0, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-18", "sales": 62.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 1, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-19", "sales": 64.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 2, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-20", "sales": 53.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 3, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-21", "sales": 62.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 4, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-22", "sales": 85.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 5, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-23", "sales": 77.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 6, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-24", "sales": 57.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 0, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-25", "sales": 65.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 1, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-26", "sales": 83.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 2, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-27", "sales": 73.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 3, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-28", "sales": 63.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 4, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-29", "sales": 69.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 5, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-30", "sales": 100.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 6, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": true, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-03-31", "sales": 72.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 0, "month": 3, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-04-01", "sales": 112.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 1, "month": 4, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-04-02", "sales": 56.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 2, "month": 4, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-04-03", "sales": 115.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 3, "month": 4, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}, {"date": "2025-04-04", "sales": 84.0, "product_id": "17002608", "product_name": "云南白药创可贴(便携型)", "store_id": "GLOBAL", "store_name": "全部店铺-SUM", "weekday": 4, "month": 4, "is_holiday": false, "is_weekend": false, "is_promotion": false, "temperature": 20.0}], "analysis": {"trend": {"slope": -0.35340793676543664, "trend_type": "下降", "r_squared": 0.4464575969990724, "p_value": 0.001766767507323499, "volatility": 0.1417623496278433, "volatility_level": "中"}, "statistics": {"mean": 20.435530411569697, "median": 21.332242965698242, "min": 14.114492416381836, "max": 24.257638931274414, "std": 2.8969888070353678, "q1": 18.419599533081055, "q3": 22.77964687347412}, "day_over_day": [-2.082978684759045, 1.335951053378298, -20.595156220444913, 11.614150224206519, -5.937999000200192, -5.1464912136450165, 15.76128839201732, 1.579928241192423, 2.4405617224983955, -22.33466668286142, 24.817066796006017, 1.8309833046727726, -15.521770609186694, 20.37111949472713, -24.91373323189177, -2.5252004590751786, -3.3777283468151222, -13.275941215151416], "influencing_factors": {"product_id": "17002608", "model_type": "xgboost", "feature_count": 7, "important_features": ["价格", "周末", "节假日"]}, "explanation": "xgboost模型对产品17002608的预测分析：\n预测显示销量整体呈下降趋势，平均每天下降约0.35个单位。\n预测期内销量波动性中，表明销量有一定波动，但整体可控。\n预测期内平均日销量为20.44个单位，最高日销量为24.26个单位，最低日销量为14.11个单位。\n\n主要影响因素包括：价格, 周末, 节假日。"}}